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Posts Tagged ‘Management’

Is Apple too powerful?

The new iPod nano is a tour de force, the Swiss Army Knife of mobile entertainment. I’m sure there’s some obscure gadget from Japan that packs more features per cubic millimeter, but I’ve never heard of it, and chances are neither have you. This one’s a major consumer product, just in time for stimulating the economy this holiday season. Speaking as a technophile, I want one of the new nanos for the same reason I want a Dremel with 300 different bits: just because.

I’m also impressed by the new price point on the iPod Touch. Apple frequently overhypes its announcements, but the $199 price point in the US truly is a milestone that should lead to much higher sales. The improvements to iTunes and the App Store look promising as well, and I’m especially intrigued by Apple’s effort to make paid apps more prominent. More on that in a future post.

But the thing that surprised me the most about Apple’s announcement wasn’t the features of the new products, or the absence of a tablet or an iPhone Lite. It was something Steve Jobs said when he talked about the video camera in the nano:

“We’ve seen video explode in the last few years,” he said, showing a picture of a Flip video camera. “Here’s one, a very popular one, four gigabytes of memory, $149, and this market has really exploded, and we want to get in on this.”

Think about that for a minute. “There’s a big new market, and we want in.” Not, “we’re creating something new” or “we can vastly improve this category.” Just, “we want a cut.”

It sounds like something Don Corleone would say. Or Steve Ballmer. But it’s not what I expected from Apple.

Now, it’s logical for Apple to put video cameras into iPods. A friend of mine worked at one of the companies producing cameras-on-a-chip, and he’s passionate about the potential for building vision into every consumer product. It’s not just an imaging issue; when the device can see the user, you can create all sorts of interesting gesture-based controls that don’t require you to ever even touch the device. Instead of point and click, the interface is just…point.

So it’s been inevitable that video cameras would eventually be built into things like the nano. For Pure Digital, the makers of the Flip, this ought to be a tough but normal competitive challenge. The first step is to make sure your camera works better than theirs (check). Next, since music players are becoming cameras, you might want to build a camera that can also play music.

But that’s where the situation becomes abnormal. Because even though Pure Digital was recently purchased by Cisco, giving it almost limitless financial resources, it’s more or less impossible for its products to become equivalent to the iPods as music players. Not because they can’t play music, but because they aren’t allowed to seamlessly sync with the iTunes music application.

The issue of access to iTunes has already been simmering in the background between Apple and Palm, with Palm engineering the Pre to access the full functionality of iTunes, Apple blocking that access, and Palm breaking back in. To date I’ve viewed it as kind of an amusing sideshow, and I didn’t really care who won. I figured the folks at Palm had plenty of time in the past to build their own music management ecosystem, but they (including me) didn’t bother, so there wasn’t any particular moral reason why they should have access to Apple’s system.

Apple the predator

The situation with Pure Digital is vastly different, in my opinion. Pure Digital pioneered the market for simple video cameras. It identified an opportunity no one else had seen, and built that market from scratch. In a declining economy, it created new jobs and new wealth, and made millions of consumers happy. It’s incredibly difficult to get a new hardware startup funded in Silicon Valley, let alone make it successful. For the good of the economy, we ought to be encouraging more companies like Pure Digital to exist.

But there’s no way for a small startup like that to also create a whole music ecosystem equivalent to iTunes. Yes, third party products can access iTunes music. But not as seamlessly as Apple’s own products, and as we’ve seen over and over in the mobile market, small differences in usability can make a big difference in sales. So Apple gets a unique advantage in the video camera market not because it makes a better camera, but because it can connect its camera more easily to a proprietary music ecosystem.

In other words, iTunes is no longer just a tool for Apple to defend its iPod sales; it’s now a tool to help Apple take over new markets.

In the legal system they call this sort of thing “tying,” and it is sometimes illegal. For decades, Apple complained that Microsoft competed unfairly by tying its products together — Office works best with Windows, Microsoft’s file formats are often proprietary so you can’t easily create a substitute for their apps, and so on. I was heavily involved in the Apple-Microsoft lawsuits when I worked at Apple in the 1990s, so I know how passionately we believed that Microsoft’s tactics were not just unethical, but also harmful to computer users and the overall economy.

So it’s very disappointing to see Apple using tactics it once bitterly denounced, and declaring that it’s decided to take over a market because “we want to get in.” If Apple can use iTunes as a weapon against Pure Digital and Palm, what’s to stop it from rolling up every new category of mobile entertainment product? Where’s the incentive for other companies to invest?

I saw first-hand the stifling effect that Microsoft and Intel’s duopoly control had on personal computer innovation. PC hardware companies learned not to bother with new features, because Microsoft and Intel would insist that anything new they created be made available to every other cloner. And software investments were restrained by the belief that Microsoft would use its leverage to take over any new application category that was developed.

Good fences make good neighbors

There’s a danger that Apple’s behavior will have the same chilling effect in mobile electronics. So I believe Apple should allow any device to sync with iTunes content, the same as an iPod. But not because it’s morally right or even because it’s legally required, but because it’s the best thing to do for Apple. Here’s why:

The two biggest threats to a very successful company are complacency and consistency. Complacency is more common — a company that’s very successful starts to relax and loses the hunger and drive that made it a winner. I think we can safely assume that won’t happen to Apple as long as Steve is around. But the second risk, consistency, is more insidious — behavior that’s appropriate and accepted for a spunky startup gets punished when a big company does it.

This is what tripped up Microsoft. The same aggressiveness that served it well against IBM got it a series of lawsuits and intense government scrutiny a decade later. Even though Microsoft eventually won those suits, its execs were distracted for years, and it was forced to dramatically change its behavior. It has never been the same company since. I think Microsoft would have been much better off had it proactively adjusted its own behavior just enough to pre-empt legal action.

That’s where Apple is today. It has to realize that it’s no longer the underdog. It’s the dominant company in mobile entertainment, and the fastest-growing major firm in mobile phones. It’s already under a lot of legal scrutiny for the way it manages the iPhone App Store. If it also leverages iTunes to take out small competitors, and especially if it’s dumb enough to say things like “we want in,” it will guarantee unfriendly attention from government regulators — a group of people who actually have more power to hurt Apple than do most of its competitors.

The Obama administration in the US is making noises about enforcing competition law more vigorously, and look at how the EU is picking on details in the Oracle-Sun merger, allegedly to protect local companies (link). If they’ll do all that to help SAP and Bull, what will they do to protect Nokia?

Apple, you don’t need the special connection with iTunes to keep on winning. You’ve already proven that you’re much better at systems design than almost any other company on Earth. The huge iPhone apps base is exclusive to you, and that won’t change. By opening up iTunes, you take away an easy excuse for regulators to pick apart your business, a process that would be distracting, expensive, and could result in much more dramatic restrictions on your actions.

Ease up a little on the gas pedal, Steve. It’s the best way to keep moving fast.Copyright 2009 Michael Mace.

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McKinsey: heaviest users of Web 2.0 applications are also enjoying benefits such as increased knowledge sharing and more effective marketing

[McKinsey & Co] Over the past three years, McKinsey has tracked the rising adoption of Web 2.0 technologies, as well as the ways organizations are using them. This year, we sought to get a clear idea of whether companies are deriving measurable business benefits from their investments in the Web. Our findings indicate that they are.

Nearly 1,700 executives from around the world, across a range of industries and functional areas, responded to this year’s survey.1 We asked them about the value they have realized from their Web 2.0 deployments in three main areas: within their organizations; externally, in their relations with customers; and in their dealings with suppliers, partners, and outside experts.

Web 2.0 technologies improve interactions with employees, customers, and suppliers at some companies more than at others. An outside study titled “Power Law of Enterprise 2.0” analyzed data from earlier McKinsey Web 2.0 surveys to gain a better understanding of the factors that contribute most significantly to the successful use of these technologies.

The findings demonstrate that success follows a “power curve distribution”—in other words, a small group of users accounts for the largest portion of the gains. According to our research, the 20 percent of users reporting the greatest satisfaction received 80 percent of the benefits. Drilling a bit deeper, we found that this 20 percent included 68 percent of the companies reporting the highest adoption rates for a range of Web 2.0 tools, 58 percent of the companies where use by employees was most widespread, and 82 percent of the respondents who claimed the highest levels of satisfaction from Web 2.0 use at their companies.

To improve our understanding of some underlying factors leading to these companies’ success, we first created an index of Web 2.0 performance, combining the previously mentioned variables: adoption, breadth of employee use, and satisfaction. A score of 100 percent represents the highest performance level possible across the three components. We then analyzed how these scores correlated with three company characteristics: the competitive environment (using industry type as a proxy), company features (the size and location of operations), and the extent to which the company actively managed Web 2.0. These three factors explained two-thirds of the companies’ scores.

Furthermore, while all of the factors are slightly correlated with one another—for example, there are more high-tech companies in the United States than in South America—each factor by itself explains much of why companies achieved their performance scores. Management capabilities ranked highest at 54 percent, meaning that good management is more than half of the battle in ensuring satisfaction with Web 2.0, a high rate of adoption, and widespread use of the tools. The competitive environment explained 28 percent, size and location 17 percent. Parsing these results even further, we found that three aspects of management were particularly critical to superior performance: a lack of internal barriers to Web 2.0, a culture favoring open collaboration (a factor confirmed in the 2009 survey), and early adoption of Web 2.0 technologies. The high-tech and telecom industries had higher scores than manufacturing, while companies with sales of less than $1 billion or those located in the United States were more likely to have relatively high performance scores than larger companies located elsewhere.

While the evidence suggests that focused management improves Web 2.0 performance, there’s still a way to go before users become as satisfied with these technologies as they are with others. The top 20 percent of companies reached a performance score of only 35 percent (the score increased to 44 percent in the 2009 survey). When the same score methodology is applied to technologies that corporations had previously adopted, Web 2.0’s score is below the 57 percent for traditional corporate IT services, such as e-mail, and the 80 percent for mobile-communications services.

Their responses suggest why Web 2.0 remains of high interest: 69 percent of respondents report that their companies have gained measurable business benefits, including more innovative products and services, more effective marketing, better access to knowledge, lower cost of doing business, and higher revenues. Companies that made greater use of the technologies, the results show, report even greater benefits. We also looked closely at the factors driving these improvements—for example, the types of technologies companies are using, management practices that produce benefits, and any organizational and cultural characteristics that may contribute to the gains. We found that successful companies not only tightly integrate Web 2.0 technologies with the work flows of their employees but also create a “networked company,” linking themselves with customers and suppliers through the use of Web 2.0 tools. Despite the current recession, respondents overwhelmingly say that they will continue to invest in Web 2.0.

How companies are benefiting from Web 2.0: McKinsey Global Survey Results

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Four questions about the Microsoft-Nokia alliance

The Microsoft-Nokia alliance turned out to be a lot more interesting than the pre-announcement rumors made it out to be. Rather than just a bundling deal for mobile Office, the press release says they’ll also be co-developing “a range of new user experiences” for Nokia phones, aimed at enterprises. Those will include mobile Office, enterprise IM and conferencing, access to portals built on SharePoint, and device management.

Of those items, the IM and conferencing ideas sound the most promising to me. Office, as I explained in my last post, is not much of a purchase-driver on mobile phones. And I think Microsoft would have needed to provide Nokia compatibility in its mobile portal and device management products anyway.

I understand the logic behind the alliance. Nokia has never been able to get much traction for its e-series business phones, and Microsoft hasn’t been able to kick RIM out of enterprise. So if they get together, maybe they can make progress. But it’s easy to make a sweeping corporate alliance announcement, and very hard to make it actually work, especially when the partners are as big and high-ego as Microsoft and Nokia. This alliance will live or die based on execution, and on a lot of details that we don’t know about yet.

Here are four questions I’d love to see answered:

What specifically are those “new user experiences”?

If Nokia and Microsoft can come up with some truly useful functionality that RIM can’t copy, they might be able to win share. But the emphasis in the press release on enterprise mobility worries me. The core users for RIM are communication-hungry professionals. If you want to eat away at RIM’s base, you need to excite those communicator users, and I’m not sure if either company has the right ideas to do that. As Microsoft has already proven, pleasing IT managers won’t drive a ton of mobile phone purchases.

Will Microsoft really follow through?

Microsoft has been hinting for the last decade that it was were willing to decouple mobile Office from the operating system, but they never had the courage to follow through. Now they have announced something that sounds pretty definitive, but the real test will be whether they put their best engineers on the Nokia products. If Microsoft assigns its C players to the alliance, or tries to make its Nokia products inferior to their Windows Mobile versions, the alliance won’t go anywhere interesting.

What does this do to Microsoft’s relationships with other handset companies?

Imagine for a moment that you are the CEO of Samsung. Actually, imagine that for several moments. You aren’t exclusive with Microsoft, but you’ve done a lot of phones with Windows Mobile on them. Now all of a sudden Microsoft makes a deal with a company that you think of as the Antichrist.

How do you feel about that?

I can tell you that Samsung is not the most trusting and nurturing company to do business with even in the best of times. So I think you make two phone calls. The first is to Steve Ballmer, asking very pointedly if you can get the same software as Nokia, on the same terms, at the same time. If you don’t like the answer to that question, your next call is to Google, regarding increasing your range of Android phones.

Maybe the reality is that Microsoft has given up on Windows Mobile and doesn’t care what Samsung does. But that itself would be interesting news.

I would love to know how those phone calls went today.

What does RIM do about this?

It has been putting a lot of effort into Apple-competitive features like multimedia and a software store. Does it have enough bandwidth to also fight Nokia-Microsoft? What happens to its core business if Microsoft and Nokia do come up with some cool functions that RIM doesn’t have? Are there any partners that could be a counterweight to Microsoft and Nokia? If I’m working at RIM, I start to think about alliances with companies like Oracle and SAP. And I wonder if Google is interested in doing some enterprise work together.Copyright 2009 Michael Mace.

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Nigeria: NITEL is up for its fourth (4th) privatization under a new board of directors

[daily trust] Nigeria Telecommunications Limited (NITEL) is becoming synonymous with controversy as the renewed bid to sell the foremost national carrier for the fourth time is being threatened by infighting and battle of wits amongst stakeholders.

In what seems like a battle for spoils, parties involved are set for a show down.

And should the development be left unchecked, the entire exercise might lead to another round of failure and by extension short changing the Nigerian people.

Following the revocation of the Share Purchase Agreement of the telecoms outfit to Transcorp, the federal government in June set up a technical board consisting of members to oversee the company and to also get a credible core investor for it.

In a statement signed by Senior Special Assistant (Media and Publicity) to the Vice-President, Ima Niboro, the Technical Board under the chairmanship of Permanent Secretary, Federal Ministry of Information and Communication Dr. Abubakar Muhammad, the board will be responsible for the day-to-day administration of the company in the interim, pending the completion of the on-going core investor sale process.

Other members of the board are Director-General, BPE, Dr. Christopher Anyanwu; Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Finance Steve Oronsaye (now, Head of Service); Acting MD, NITEL (to be appointed); Director, Information and Communication, Ibrahim Kashim; SSA (Econs) to VP, Mr. Sam Worlu; representative of the Chairman, National Council on Privatisation (NCP); and Managing Director, NIGCOMSAT Ltd.

At the moment, a substantive Managing Director has not been appointed for NITEL and MTEL. Speculations are rife in the media that one of the board members is currently angling to head the conglomerate whereas the BPE, which is represented by two members i.e. the DG and a director is given to having an in house head for the company. Apart from that, while the BPE wants the company sold in bits, some members of the board are said to be striving to convince the federal government to invest and reactivate it instead of outright sale at the moment.

Daily Trust reported an unnamed source at the weekend, who is believed to be a member of the technical committee of accusing the BPE of being bent on rendering the technical board useless and conniving with interested parties to sell NITEL as scrap without value.

“We have evidence that the BPE does not mean well for NITEL. We are aware of a security report showing that BPE is behind the various crises bedevilling the technical board since it was constituted to manage the affairs of NITEL after the cancellation of its sale to Transcorp. The two BPE members on the Technical Board have stopped attending our meetings and even before then the BPE refused to implement the decision to pay 50% of SAT-3 debt. We asked the BPE to also pay so that it would not be disconnected from London. We recently had to also pay PHCN debt of N350, 000 to prevent them from totally disconnecting NITEL facilities.”

Not done yet, the source said, “The downfall of NITEL started with the intervention of the BPE in the privatisation process. When Obasanjo took over in 1999, NITEL was worth $8 billion. Today, thanks to the BPE which first gave the company to Pentascope and later Transcorp, NITEL value now stand at less than $200 million and they have never deemed it fit to apologise to Nigerians for misadvising government on the competence of these companies they have been off-loading NITEL to. He said since 2004, NITEL had no audited account and management were and BPE never cared because they want to sell NITEL as scrap.”

But the BPE sees this as a waste of money. The BPE’s spokesman told Daily Trust on phone that, “There is disagreement on procedures. Our stand has always been that while privatising, there is no need for refurbishing and rehabilitation because it is wasteful.”

Other members of the technical board are believed to be taking sides with the position canvassed by the proposal of the member, because “they are ministry people and that is where they will get contracts from,” a source said.

These are some of the intrigues of interest currently facing the once flag bearer of Nigeria telecoms industry.

Anichebe had said last week in an interview told Daily Trust that the CVs of top managers at the company were being scrutinised to get a capable hand for the firm.

“I am suspecting they should have the short list ready before council meeting where whoever is recommended will be approved by the council. The next council meeting comes up next (this) week. We are looking at general managers and Deputy General Managers. Within that ranks, we hope to get somebody who will be able to be in charge till we find another investor,” he said. The three deputy managers are Mrs Laraba Abbas, Sabo Ibrahim and Pius Ugandem.

NITEL in 2002 had 553,471 functional lines and a generated income at N53.41 billion as a viable company apart from labour related issues, a debt overhang of over N20 billion, stripped assets and liabilities arising from unpaid workers arrears, and pensioners’ dues, NITEL is no doubt a shadow of its old self.

In 2002 when the first attempt to sell the company to Investors International London Limited (IILL), NITEL had over 10,000 employees. In 2003 before Pentascope took over, NITEL generated and collected N51.43 billion as revenue in one year from about 555,055 connected lines. After 23 months of Pentascope take over, the connected lines dropped to 440,000 and a debt profile of over N40 billion was incurred which eventually led to the revocation of deal with Pentascope. In 2005, Orascom, the Egyptian telecoms giant failed to buy the company because their $250 million bid was said to be below the reserved price.

The takeover of NITEL by Trans-national Corporation (Transcorp) in 2006 was celebrated with fanfare. The $500 million deal promised to turn around the company but three years after, they left it in a sorry state.

When they took over, NITEL’S connected line was 400,000. Three years after, it dropped to less than 100,000. Working lines was 296,000, it has dropped to 5,000. M-tel had about 1.3 million lines when Transcorp took over, but today, the lines stand at less than 100, 000. The 250,000 CDMA lines that were at 90% completion before Transcorp took over have not been completed. There were 249 (out of the original 284) active exchanges in the NITEL network nationwide at the time Transcorp took over. Today less than 60 of them are working, many of them shut down due to power problems.

The Transmission link nationwide through optic fibre network and the Micro-wave (Radio) link have broken down. Today, calls cannot be made in any part of Nigeria (e.g. Abuja to Kaduna) on a land line. Most observers are waiting earnestly to see whom the BPE will hand over NITEL to this time around.

Globacom has not hidden its interest in acquiring NITEL but those opposed to this move think that it could create monopoly in the Nigeria telecom industry.

The National Council on Privatisation (NCP) chaired by Vice President Goodluck Jonathan with up to five ministers as members will definitely have the final say. However, the term of reference among others given to the board upon its appointment was to hold the forth and make NITEL/MTEL as a going concern till a credible investor is found.

How the battle of wits and interest plays out in the nearest future can only be left for time to tell but no doubt the entity to suffer most is NITEL itself and the staff who have suffered untold hardship over the years.

Nitel Privatisation – the Politics, the Crisis

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Australia: The National Broadband Network would take 18 years to connect most homes

[news.com.au] IT WILL take at least 18 years for most Australian homes to be connected to the Rudd Government’s National Broadband Network, according to financial services giant Goldman Sachs JBWere.

In a 92-page report on the NBN, Goldman analysts say it will take until financial year 2017 before 50 per cent of homes are passed by the network, and until 2028 before 85 per cent of homes are connected.

When the Government announced the $43 billion NBN project in April, it said it intended to sell down its stake in the scheme “within five years after the network is built and fully operational”.

According to the analysts’ estimation, the NBN company’s present value is negative $9 billion.

They predict it will take until 2019 for it to break-even on an earnings before interest and tax basis.

The report — from analysts led by Christian Guerra, Tristan Joll and Adam Alexander – also argued that dominant telco Telstra is likely to sell $12 billion of its network assets into the NBN, making the project faster and cheaper for the Government to build.

It said Telstra was most likely to sell “passive” physical assets, such as ducts, pits and pipes, to NBNCo for a discounted $8 billion, below Goldman’s $12 billion valuation, but would keep its copper network.

The analysts argued that for Telstra to accept a 33 per cent discount on the replacement value of the assets is a “somewhat contentious assumption”, but said that, among other reasons, “Telstra’s public persona has certainly been more constructive, conciliatory and co-operative in recent times. We believe this will continue”.

The report argued the NBN would cost the Government $37 billion if Telstra co-operated in this way, but if not the price would be bumped up to $41 billion.

It said the benefits to the Government of Telstra selling these assets would be enormous, reducing the cost of the NBN build by 10 to 15 per cent and speeding up the NBN roll-out by three to four years.

The analysts said paying Telstra through an equity stake in NBNCo was likely to be “completely unsatisfactory” for Telstra and its shareholders.

“It is difficult to see the market ascribing any value to an equity investment in a company such as this,” they said.

The report argued the Government’s regulatory review of the telco sector was its way of “encouraging Telstra to co-operate” in the NBN, “as opposed to a significant industry reform plan”.

It said the structural separation of Telstra, the enforced split of its retail and wholesale arms, was unlikely, as was the forced divestment of its 50 per cent stake in pay-TV provider Foxtel.

The report came a day after Broadband Minister Stephen Conroy announced financial advisory firm KPMG and management consultancy McKinsey & Co had won a $25 million contract to head up an implementation study into the NBN.

National Broadband Network years away, says analyst report

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